david wurtz http://blog.davidwurtz.com Web Entrepreneur. Startup Advisor. Googler. posterous.com Sat, 27 Feb 2010 06:59:03 -0800 Maya the Maltese http://blog.davidwurtz.com/maya-the-maltese http://blog.davidwurtz.com/maya-the-maltese 2 years ago a Maltese puppy was born. Her name was Maya and she was
smaller than the rest. She was 1.2 lbs. She fell asleep during the car
ride home.

Maya was by our side at the start of our independent lives together.
After college, we had just bought our first apartment in Brooklyn,
right near Prospect Park. The apartment coop didn't allow dogs, but we
got Maya anyway. It just made too much sense.

Maya had the ability to make you feel like you were the most special
person in the world, with all her excitement and licks. Maya wiped
away concerns after long, hard days in the world. Maya spread joy.
When we traveled around Park Slope and further, she would brighten
people's day. They'd comment on her miraculously small size, beautiful
features, and big attitude. She made friends easier than we've ever
seen.

On Wednesday, February 24th, 3 days shy of her 2nd birthday, right
after breakfast and while wrestling with her little sister Lilly,
Maya's breathing and heart stopped. Frantically, we rushed her through
the streets of Manhattan to the nearest animal hospital. The cab got
stuck in traffic so we ran instead. But she couldn't last. Within 20
minutes of waking up, we had lost a family member and best friend.

Maya didn't get her fair share of life, but she did so much with the
little time she had. We'll cherish the memories.

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Mon, 11 Jan 2010 06:07:14 -0800 iPod Nano "Miracle" Box http://blog.davidwurtz.com/ipod-nano-miracle-box http://blog.davidwurtz.com/ipod-nano-miracle-box
Miracle-box

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Sun, 10 Jan 2010 10:21:45 -0800 The Beautiful Costa Rica http://blog.davidwurtz.com/the-beautiful-costa-rica http://blog.davidwurtz.com/the-beautiful-costa-rica

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http://files.posterous.com/user_profile_pics/217997/da-element.jpg http://posterous.com/users/36EPZe5iHY09 David Wurtz David David Wurtz
Sat, 12 Dec 2009 13:59:00 -0800 Smart People should do Stupid Stuff http://blog.davidwurtz.com/smart-people-should-do-stupid-stuff http://blog.davidwurtz.com/smart-people-should-do-stupid-stuff

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I was fortunate to attend Olin College of Engineering with some of the brightest minds in the country, and the bar of achievement was set high.  Inside the classroom, we worked on problems that were mind-numbingly complex and intricate.  Outside of class, most students aimed to develop incredibly elaborate and technically innovative projects: Robots that swam across a pool like a tuna fish, machines that harvested oranges from a grove, or a new design for a surgical device.

The projects I chose to work on during my time as an undergraduate were high-risk/high-reward. I spent many nights using the Electron Scanning Microscope to image the nanostructure of Neluma Nucifera (the common Lilly pad). I was attempting to exploit its nanostructure to construct a material with microsuction properties. It almost worked.
 
I spent another 6 months of free time experimenting with Ferromagnetic fluid (aka "ferrofluid"), a magical substance that comes to life in the presence of a magnetic field.  I wanted to stabilize ferrofluid in a clear liquid carrier, so it could be used in lavalamp-type environments to delight consumers at Brookstone.  I  built a make-shift lab in my parent's basement, borrowed a micropipette from a scientist friend and went at it. 

I learned a great deal from these (and many other) projects. My time at Olin was highly enjoyable, transformative experience and I was given ample resources to explore my intellectual and creative limits. I  learned more rapidly than any other point in my life. There was really only one downside. My experience in school lead me to believe that to be successful, you had to do non-obvious, difficult things. 

After being immersed in such a high achievement, intellectually stimulating environment, it is easy to believe you must invent an anti-gravity device or equivalent, in order to succeed.  This is a self-inflicted expectation that many  students place on themselves after years of being subject to the incredibly sophisticated minds of their professors. I believe this mindset can have counter-productive consequences.

Although I endorse those  who attempt to spend their time defying gravity (the world needs these people), I simply think students simply forget that the real world is not graded by professors with untamed beards.  Students are largely unaware that they could realize just as much success, or perhaps even more success, if they point their incisive intellect at simpler, "stupider" problems. So why don't they? Because these problems are typically unsexy, considered to lack academic rigor. 

I once met a man that made over $1,000,000/year selling bowling balls on the Internet.  I asked him how he had built such a fantastic business. I was looking for this guy's secret sauce. Was he a marketing guru, a tenacious entrepreneur that didn't give up, saw an opportunity earlier than most? None of the above. He was an average guy, with below average technical skills. He hired 2 kids to work out of his garage to build his website. 

If he can do it, so can I.... It's two years later, and I now make a decent sum of money selling TV Wall Mounts on the Internet. This is an area I can proudly say all of my fellow over-achievers have overlooked. But don't fret. The world is full of more stupid things to do.

The truth is, any endeavor, no matter how seemingly trivial, can benefit from an incisive mind taking a good, hard look. And almost any endeavor can be intellectually gratifying. You may be surprised to know that most people don't apply scientific method to their efforts, or even possess the reasoning skills or patience to achieve greatness. This puts you and your well-honed cerebral apparatus, at an incredible advantage. In the real world, you're no longer competing with your fellow geniuses at the school science fair...you're competing with your typical neighbor. And you're about to kick his (metaphorical) ass.

In high school, I founded a web development studio that carved out a niche making interactive websites with Macromedia Flash.  It made my friend and I the richest (but unfortunately not also the coolest) kids in class. But what if instead of making incredibly impressive, expensive Flash websites for our clients, we deferred revenue and focused on making free online Flash greeting cards? We may have built Blue Mountain Greeting Cards, a year or so before they did. Free greeting cards? That's so easy it's stupid. 

I'll end with perhaps the most outrageous example. It is the story of a middle-America teenager who created an incredibly annoying online video series called Fred Figglehorn, and publishes it on YouTube.  In the series, Fred talks about his days at school, his alcoholic mother, and his crush Judy. Fred's annoying voice has reached millions of people around the world. He's created a viral phenomenon...and his endorsements and ad revenue have already paid for college (if he decides to go). 

Success isn't only found in the complex, intellectual achievements.  Sometimes it's found in more obvious, less sexy places. Go find something stupid to do. 

PS: Want to sell something online yourself? There's no better time
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http://files.posterous.com/user_profile_pics/217997/da-element.jpg http://posterous.com/users/36EPZe5iHY09 David Wurtz David David Wurtz
Fri, 27 Nov 2009 16:43:18 -0800 Don't let your mind screw you up http://blog.davidwurtz.com/dont-let-your-mind-screw-you-up http://blog.davidwurtz.com/dont-let-your-mind-screw-you-up This quote about professional baseball struck me as incredibly relevant to starting a business. The best entrepreneurs are those that are in control of their emotions, and are perhaps a bit crazy.

"The point about Lenny, at least to Billy, was clear: Lenny didn't let his mind screw him up. The physical gifts required to play pro ball were, in some ways, less extraordinary than the mental ones. Only a psychological freak could approach a 100-mph fastball aimed not all that far from his head with total confidence." Lenny was so perfectly designed, emotionally, to pay the game of baseball," said Billy. "He was able to instantly forget any failure and draw strength from every success. He had no concept of failure. And he had no idea of where he was." Page 46 of Money Ball.

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Sun, 22 Nov 2009 21:03:00 -0800 What 4th-down teaches us about risk taking http://blog.davidwurtz.com/what-4th-down-teaches-us-about-risk-taking http://blog.davidwurtz.com/what-4th-down-teaches-us-about-risk-taking

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"Put simply, Mr. Belichick (coach New England Patriots) is taking flak because he decided, in the middle of a close, hard-fought and emotionally charged game against a major rival, to throw caution to the wind. In other words, he's being pilloried for not being a wimp.

Somehow in American football, the punt—a clear and unambiguous symbol of surrender and retreat—has become the hallmark of sensible coaching.

...

In a recent study, researchers from Duke and UCLA found that when faced with a decision involving risk, people have an overwhelming tendency to make the supposedly safe choice—to err on the side of caution—even though doing so may lead to worse results."

Entire story here.

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Fri, 13 Nov 2009 20:20:00 -0800 Leap of Confidence - How to Grow Your Skills http://blog.davidwurtz.com/the-leap-of-confidence http://blog.davidwurtz.com/the-leap-of-confidence

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Remember the scene of The Matrix where Neo is attempting to jump from one high-rise roof top to another? He's told he can make the jump only if he believes. Neo takes the leap, doubts himself mid-flight, and falls to the concrete below. (Luckily, the concrete was really made of rubber).

I think this scene from The Matrix can teach us all something about how to grow both personally and professionally. In Neo's case, he was learning to believe he was the One, and in yours, you're learning to realize the extent of your capabilities and talents.

In many situations, you need to believe you can succeed or you will fail...and its the very act of believing that leads you to success. Public speakers frequently employ the technique by envisioning their speech being well received before the give it, runners visualize a perfect race, and students the perfect test. Visualizing success tricks the brain into beleiving success is possible, and can actually improve results.

During my first week at Google, I was put in a room full of people smarter than me and told to lead the team on a new feature launch. I was intimidated, and out of my comfort zone. But I pulled through by mimicking the leaders I had observed at earlier Google meetings. I pretended to be someone else above my current skillset, and quickly became that someone. I took the leap.

Place yourself in difficult situations that explore the boundaries of your limits. Make that important phone call, sit on a panel at a big conference, run a marathon. Push yourself, and take the leap of confidence that you can get to the other side. Once at the other side, you'll have discovered something about yourself, picked up a new skill, and you'll be even more ready to take the next leap.

What leaps have you taken recently?

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http://files.posterous.com/user_profile_pics/217997/da-element.jpg http://posterous.com/users/36EPZe5iHY09 David Wurtz David David Wurtz
Wed, 04 Nov 2009 05:12:53 -0800 Geeks like Yoga http://blog.davidwurtz.com/geeks-like-yoga http://blog.davidwurtz.com/geeks-like-yoga A few days ago, I sent around a series of questions concerning posture. For your entertainment, I've summed up what you've told me.  Sample Size: 31
  • 81.4% of you have been concerned with your poor posture at least once in past.
    • Out of this 81.4% of you, the average frequency of thought is 2-3 times a week.
  • 66% of you have experienced (or still experience) back or neck pain
  • 75% of you have conducted research on optimal ergonomic practices
  • 70% of you have invested in some type of solution for your posture.
    • Out of this 70%, 20% have purchased an Aeron brand chair. Talk about a market leader.
  • 34.6% of you have exercised specifically to improve posture.
  • 19% of those who responded do Yoga or Pilates, but not necessarily to fix posture. I'm very surprised to see this % so high. Apparently, geeks like Yoga.

It looks like posture is something that's on most of our minds.

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http://files.posterous.com/user_profile_pics/217997/da-element.jpg http://posterous.com/users/36EPZe5iHY09 David Wurtz David David Wurtz
Sun, 01 Nov 2009 16:58:54 -0800 How Important is Your Posture? http://blog.davidwurtz.com/how-important-is-your-posture http://blog.davidwurtz.com/how-important-is-your-posture Most of you spend 9-12hours a day sitting in front of a computer...
  1. Are you ever concerned with your inability to keep a healthy posture throughout your work day?
  2. If so, how often do you think about your posture?
  3. Have you ever experienced neck or back pain as a result of poor posture?
  4. Have you ever done research on how to maintain a healthy posture? or how to sit correctly at a desk?
  5. Have you ever invested in a solution (kneeling chair, other expensive chair, brace, etc)?
  6. If not, have you ever even considered investing in such a solution?
  7. Have you ever done any exercises specially targeting the muscle groups that keep you sitting upright?
feel free to leave your responses in the comments, or email me: david-at-davidwurtz.com

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http://files.posterous.com/user_profile_pics/217997/da-element.jpg http://posterous.com/users/36EPZe5iHY09 David Wurtz David David Wurtz
Sun, 01 Nov 2009 16:26:19 -0800 Four Steps to the Epiphany http://blog.davidwurtz.com/four-steps-to-the-epiphany http://blog.davidwurtz.com/four-steps-to-the-epiphany "A startup begins with a vision: a vision of a new product or service, a vision of how the product will reach its customers, and a vision of why lots of people will buy that product. But most of what a startup’s founders initially believe about their market and potential customers are just educated guesses. To turn the vision into reality (and a profitable company), a startup must test those guesses, or hypotheses, and find out which are correct. So the general goal of Customer Discovery amounts to this: turning the founders’ initial hypotheses about their market and customers into facts. And since the facts live outside the building, the primary activity is to get in front of customers. Only after the founders have performed this step will they know whether they have a valid vision or just a hallucination." - Four Steps to the Epiphany

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Fri, 09 Oct 2009 20:42:00 -0700 Hacker's Guide to Printing Money in the Stock Market http://blog.davidwurtz.com/hackers-guide-to-printing-money-in-the-stock http://blog.davidwurtz.com/hackers-guide-to-printing-money-in-the-stock

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You're smart, but you were never successful in the Stock Market...
At times, your portfolio may have been up significantly, but eventually your performance would settle down to just mediocre. It was just too difficult to beat the averages. So after a while, you brushed the Stock Market off as something for chain-smoking wall street guys. You'll stick to your quest to build the next YouTube. (which by the way, if you can build me a guide for that one, let me know).

How often are you succesful with your stock trades? Chances are, you are probably profitable on about half your stock picks. What if I told you there was a strategy that is profitable 90 or 95% of the time? There does exist such a strategy, and lots of smart people like yourself use it every day to make lots of money. It's called Selling Naked Puts (with a name like that, how could it fail?). This article will give you the basics of how to put this strategy to good use.

First, some background on stock options:
"Puts" are stock options contracts. If you BUY a Put on a particular stock, you are purchasing the right to sell that stock at the Put's strike price. Every option contract also has an expiration date. For example, if Apple stock is trading at $100 on October 1 and you buy a Put with a strike at $95 and an expiration of Oct 16th, if the stock dips below $95 before Oct 16th, you can still sell Apple at $95. Buying a put is like buying an insurance policy on a stock. It limits your downside.

Conversely, if you SELL a Put, you're taking on the obligation to buy the stock at the Put's strike price. When you sell a put, someone pays you at time 0 for that Put..(perhaps a couple hundred dollars). In the example above, if you sold the Apple $95 Put, if Apple went to $90 you'd still be on the hook to buy it at $95 for a $5/share loss. However, if Apple remained above $95, then you'd simply profit from the sale of the original Put contract. You'd have no obligation to do anything to cover your position. The Put would simply expire, and you'd keep your proceeds.  When you sell a put, you're effectively selling an insurance policy. The policy holder (buyer of the Put) pays you to take her downside risk away. If the downside event doesn't occur, you profit. And if it does, you have to buy Apple stock.

The magic of selling Puts on stocks you actually want to buy:

What if you don't mind owning Apple stock? What if you were going to buy Apple stock at $100 anyway? If that's the case, then your worst case situation of selling a Put on Apple isn't that bad. Even if you're forced to buy Apple at $95 when it's currently trading at $90, at least you own a stock you want to own. And besides, if you were going to buy the stock at $100, you'd still be down if it was now trading at $90. My point is, selling Puts is an excellent strategy when you sell a Put on a stock you don't mind owning. Your worst case scenario just isn't that bad. And your best case scenario can be highly likely.

How likely is your best case scenario? In the beginning of this article, I mentioned you can profit in 90% - 95% of the Puts you sell.  The truth is, you can ultimately choose how sure you want to be about landing in your best case scenario. The higher the certainty that your trade will be a success, the lower the proceeds you will collect when selling the put. And vice versa. You can use a stock probability calculator, to determine the degree of confidence in your trades. For example, the screenshot below shows you that there is only a 9.01% chance that Vistaprint (VPRT) will close lower than $45 on November 16th. (It's currently trading at $49).

This means if you were to sell a VPRT $45 Put today, you'd have a ~91% chance of keeping those proceed from selling the put, without ever the need to buy VPRT stock. According to Yahoo Finance, the $45 Put sells for about&m=2009-11"> $205 per option contract. If you want more than $205 per contract, simply sell a put with a higher strike (and therefore a higher probability VistaPrint will actually close below that strike price). You could also choose to sell a Put contract with a longer expiration (perhaps expires in December). Because there's more time for the stock to reach it's price, you are compensated for this additional risk.

There is a magic to small gains. If you consistently place these smart bets, you'll be surprised how quickly they add up. Although you may only make $205 per contract, if you buy multiple contracts and consistently win the bets, you'll grow your portfolio quickly.

Of course, the strategy is not risk free. If the stock for which you sell Puts crashes, you're legally obligated to purchase the shares at the MUCH higher strike price. But remember, if you were going to buy the stock anyway, you are no worse off with this strategy. Except that with this strategy, you'll win 90% of the time.


Appendix:

*** Please don't sue me. I don't promise you'll profit from this strategy. I'm merely relaying a strategy that's worked very well for me over the last 4 years. You should be well versed in the details of trading Stock Options before you do so, as trading options can carry significant risk (especially if you don't understand them). There are lots of articles on the web. Read up!

*** Make sure your brokerage account allows you to sell stock options
I recommend Interactive Brokers for stock and option trading. It's used by the pros, and gives you real time access without the sugar coating. It's also cheap to trade. Only $1.50 or so per option contract. But feel free to use your ScottTrade, OptionsXpress, or eTrade account as well. You'll just need to sign a few pieces of additional paperwork.

*** Each option contract deals in lots of 100 shares of underlying stock. So buying 100 shares of Apple at $175 would cost $17,500. Not up to front that cash? Then try the strategy on a lower priced stock, where you can more easily afford buying 100 shares if the worst case scenario comes true.

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Sat, 03 Oct 2009 05:44:00 -0700 Why the 80-20 Rule is Wrong http://blog.davidwurtz.com/why-the-80-20-rule-is-wrong http://blog.davidwurtz.com/why-the-80-20-rule-is-wrong

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Most of you have heard of the 80/20 rule, otherwise known as the Pareto Principle. For those who haven't, the principle states that in many situations, 20% of your effort typically can yield 80% of the value. Lots of students apply this every day. 20% of time invested in an assignment can get you a B, but it would take much more effort to achieve an A or A+.

This theory is a powerful one. It allows anyone to maximize the efficiency and effectiveness of their efforts. The theory can apply not just to school assignments, but everything in life. Responding to email, washing dishes, writing posts like these, and launching new startups. It's perfect, right?

I think the 80/20 rule is wrong...well not wrong, but not entirely correct. I agree with the theory at "low" levels of investment... that at 20% of effort, one can achieve 80% of the value. But I think the Pareto Principle can mislead us. It guides us to spend little time on many things, without over investing in any one thing. But I believe that sometimes over-investment in a single effort is exactly what's required to reach extra-ordinary results. I believe that sometimes, with 100% effort you can unleash significantly more value than you ever thought existed in the first place.

Pareto-is-wrong

Let's take a closer look at a typical school assignment. As the Pareto Principle states, at 20% of the effort, you may achieve a B on a class assignment. And at 80% of the effort, you may achieve an A. But what happens at 100% effort? I'm not talking 99%....I'm talking about devoting every mental cycle, perfecting every detail, and going all out on the assignment? What if you go beyond your instructor's expectations, and exceed even your own understanding of your limits? Great things happen....you can use this assigment as a stellar example of your work for job interviews...perhaps your instructor will hire you as a TA...you'll be sent to a conference to present your findings... or be published in a reputable academic journal. Perhaps you'll earn the respect of your instructor and collegeues, and receive the benefit of the doubt when you hand in your next assignment late. Word will spread of your stellar work, and you'll probably increase your grades on future assignments because you'll be auto-classified as a rockstar.

Choose wisely. Obviously, you don't have the time to devote 100% effort to everything you do. But try this on a small subset of all your efforts, and see what it untaps. And avoid the mediocrity trap. Don't spend 80% effort to earn a B+. Stick with B's on most, and aim for an A++ on one or two assignments every once and a while.

Evidence of this Theory of Extraordinary Results is all around us. Apple's Macbook line, Google's obsession with Ad quality, and even the incredible effort that it took to write, film and edit I'm On a Boat SNL skit (which garnered over 35million views on YouTube alone). But perhaps the best example is the Statue of Liberty in NY Harbor. If France had applied the 80/20 rule and made the Statue 30ft tall, it would have been a kind gesture for sure. Instead they decided to deliver one of the biggest bronze statues in existence at the time...Standing at 151ft, the statue of liberty was a HUGE gesture. Because of it's magnificent size and incredible craftsmanship, it was quickly recognized as a world symbol of American freedom. It was glorious, memorizing and noteworthy. A 30ft statue just wouldn't have had the same effect. To build the statue of this size took 100% effort. France went above and beyond, and achieved more than a Statue.

I think the 80/20 rule is a powerful one, and should be applied in many situations to maximize efficiency. But let's not forget that incredible things are achieved at 100%.

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http://files.posterous.com/user_profile_pics/217997/da-element.jpg http://posterous.com/users/36EPZe5iHY09 David Wurtz David David Wurtz